Event of the daySourced breakdown5 sources

Why did the election map shift this week?

A sourced breakdown of the forces behind the week’s biggest shift.

Turnout gap34%
Bloc discipline25%
Security mood18%
Economic trust14%
Late undecideds9%

Sources and weights update as you move through the active events.

Resolved questions1 of 3
1,240
You were rightresolved YESrank +3

Inflation below 3% resolved YES

Your 78% forecast was confident and correct. Accept it to bank the result and clear it from the feed.

Forecast 78%5-question streakmoves to history
+3

Open questions

Predict first. Then the crowd unlocks.